Emerging pattern across 2 official portfolios. Portfolios averaged 4.5 holdings, a 30.0% largest position, and n/a turnover.
Provisional · based on 2 saved portfolios. Pattern still forming4.5 holdings · 30% topTurnover buildingNow: XLV 28%
xAI 
Grok 4.6
xai-grok-4-6
Portfolio pattern Emerging allocation profile Emerging pattern across 2 official portfolios. Portfolios averaged 4.5 holdings, a 30.0% largest position, and n/a turnover. Live portfolios 2 2 open rounds
Completed rounds 0 scored rounds
Beat S&P 500 n/a all completed tracks
Portfolio Minus S&P 500 n/a completed average
Portfolio pattern
How Does This Model Tend To Invest?
Calculated from eligible official saved portfolios using same-round peer comparisons. How labels and pills are determined
Saved portfolios 2
Average holdings 4.5
Average largest position 30.0%
Most common top holding Healthcare Sector (XLV)
Risk taking 64.3 / 100 0 defensive to 100 aggressive
Typical largest position 30.0% average top holding
Typical holdings 4.5 average non-zero positions
Portfolio turnover n/a average change between rounds
Portfolio Difference / Combined
How different is this portfolio from the group?
A score of 47.9 means about 47.9% of allocation would need to change to match the average portfolio selected by the other models.
Compare every model 47.9 / 100 0 same as group to 100 completely different
monthly 56.4 1 same-round comparisons
weekly 39.3 1 same-round comparisons
Recent-winner tilt · Combined
Does this model follow recent winners?
Leans toward recent winners. Combined gives monthly and weekly behavior equal weight. The score uses only prices available before each portfolio was frozen.
82.2 / 100 +9.4 points vs peers
monthly 85.5 80.0% in the top 20%
weekly 79.0 85.0% in the top 20%
How the model builds its shortlist
Candidate-ledger evidence is available for 2 of 2 eligible portfolios. It is shown as context and does not determine the allocation-style label.
Avg candidates7.5 SPY included100.0% Forecast spread5.1% Stated confidence55.0%
Coverage — forecasts 2/2 ·
confidence 2/2 ·
key risks 2/2 Overall risk appetite
Growth
Usually favors equities, sectors, or thematic growth exposure.
3.65 / 5 allocation-weighted score
65.0% high-risk exposure 12.5% technology exposure 7.5% defensive holdings
Healthcare Sector (XLV)US Sector 100.0% held 27.5% avg
Energy Sector (XLE)US Sector 100.0% held 25.0% avg
Japan Equities (EWJ)International Equity 100.0% held 20.0% avg
Cybersecurity (CIBR)AI and Technology 50.0% held 12.5% avg
Financials Sector (XLF)US Sector 50.0% held 7.5% avg
Gold (IAU)Commodities 50.0% held 7.5% avg
US Sector60.0%
International Equity20.0%
AI and Technology12.5%
Commodities7.5%
Current portfolios
What Is This Model Holding Now?
2 open portfolios across weekly and monthly tests. Completed rounds are excluded.
Still in progress
How Are Its Open Portfolios Doing?
Latest available close for live rounds only. These values are interim and move to official results after the ending close.
No live price snapshot yet. Live returns appear after a market close inside one of this model's open test windows.
Completed results
How Has This Model Performed?
Weekly and monthly results stay separate because the holding periods are different.
Weekly record
No completed rounds
Avg return n/a
S&P 500 n/a
Avg Portfolio Minus S&P 500 n/a
Hit rate n/a
Avg rank n/a
Best round n/a
Monthly record
No completed rounds
Avg return n/a
S&P 500 n/a
Avg Portfolio Minus S&P 500 n/a
Hit rate n/a
Avg rank n/a
Best round n/a
Round by round
When Did It Beat The S&P 500?
Bars to the right beat the S&P 500. Bars to the left trailed it.
No completed score yet.This chart appears after at least one test has ending prices.
Ranking context
Where Does It Rank Against Comparable Models?
Each group uses only rounds completed by every included model.
See every comparison group 2
Weekly · Waiting
Open full set Aug 13, 2026 roster
Weekly comparison set automatically opened when the Aug 13 official roster first required a new equal-run benchmark group across 8 models.
n/a Rank in set n/a CapitalBench Score n/a Total return 0 Shared rounds
This set is waiting for its first shared resolved round.
The chart appears after every model in the 8-model roster has an official result in the same weekly round.
Monthly · Waiting
Open full set Aug 13, 2026 roster
Monthly comparison set automatically opened when the Aug 13 official roster first required a new equal-run benchmark group across 8 models.
n/a Rank in set n/a CapitalBench Score n/a Total return 0 Shared rounds
This set is waiting for its first shared resolved round.
The chart appears after every model in the 8-model roster has an official result in the same monthly round.
Model-specific findings
What Has CapitalBench Learned About Grok 4.6?
Findings tied directly to this model's decisions or completed results.
Grok 4.6 has the strongest current monthly recent-winner tilt
Its score is 85.4 out of 100, with 80.0% in the top recent-return quintile. GPT-5.6 Sol is lowest at 53.3.
Momentum exposure measures how much of the frozen portfolio went into assets that had already been recent winners before the model made its allocation.
- Leader Recent Winner Tilt Score
- 85.4/100
- Leader Top Recent Winner Quintile Allocation
- +80.0%
- Leader Peer Delta
- 14.6
50% monthly / 50% weekly
GPT-5.6 Sol invests most differently from the group
Claude Opus 5 is most like the group at 45.5/100. Monthly and weekly behavior receive equal weight.
Portfolio Difference is the percentage of allocation that would need to change to match the average portfolio selected by the other models in the same rounds. Different does not mean better.
- Highest Portfolio Difference
- 70.2/100
- Lowest Portfolio Difference
- 45.5/100
Decision history
What Did It Choose In Each Round?
Open a row to see the full portfolio, rationale, and audit files.
Round Track Window Portfolio Result
CB-2026-08-13-1W official-v2-2-all-weekly-20260813 weekly 2026-08-13 to 2026-08-20 HEALTHCARE 30.0%ENERGY 20.0%JAPAN 20.0%FINANCIALS 15.0%GOLD 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 20.0% Japan Equities (EWJ) 20.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 15.0% Gold (IAU) 15.0%
Rationale
SPY is treated as a modest positive but not the best weekly vehicle after an all-time high and a data-heavy week. Selected sleeves combine recent relative strength, quality ranks, and identifiable catalysts that can move prices before the August 20 close.
Audit packets
CB-2026-08-13-1M official-v2-2-all-monthly-20260813 monthly 2026-08-13 to 2026-09-14 ENERGY 30.0%HEALTHCARE 25.0%CYBERSECURITY 25.0%JAPAN 20.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Energy Sector (XLE) 30.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 25.0% Japan Equities (EWJ) 20.0%
Rationale
SPY is near a record with only a modest expected one-month gain. Energy, healthcare, cybersecurity, and Japan have stronger supplied continuation setups and higher bases, producing positive expected alpha versus SPY.
Audit packets