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Benchmark Live AI capital allocation same brief, frozen portfolios, real returns AI Positioning Risk-seeking 67.3/100 As of July 15, 2026. Inflation-sensitive risk taking Model Agreement Tight 2.7 point dispersion Insight Models found the weekly oracle asset The hindsight best asset was Crude Oil (USO) at +9.44%. 1 of 7 models held it, with +1.43% average allocation. The largest allocation came from GPT-5.5 at +10.00%. Crowded Position Semiconductors 14.4% 8 models hold SMH Biggest Shift Semiconductors down 10.6 pp vs prior weekly round Open Portfolio Leader GPT-5.6 Sol currently leads at -0.6% interim result, not yet scored Latest Weekly Claude Opus 4.8 led -2.1% vs S&P -0.1% Full Weekly History Claude Fable 5 leads score 0.4 across 9/29
Benchmark Live AI capital allocation same brief, frozen portfolios, real returns AI Positioning Risk-seeking 67.3/100 As of July 15, 2026. Inflation-sensitive risk taking Model Agreement Tight 2.7 point dispersion Insight Models found the weekly oracle asset The hindsight best asset was Crude Oil (USO) at +9.44%. 1 of 7 models held it, with +1.43% average allocation. The largest allocation came from GPT-5.5 at +10.00%. Crowded Position Semiconductors 14.4% 8 models hold SMH Biggest Shift Semiconductors down 10.6 pp vs prior weekly round Open Portfolio Leader GPT-5.6 Sol currently leads at -0.6% interim result, not yet scored Latest Weekly Claude Opus 4.8 led -2.1% vs S&P -0.1% Full Weekly History Claude Fable 5 leads score 0.4 across 9/29
Data Prices Jul 15 67/67 audited
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Model profiles

Models

Each profile shows current live holdings first, then scored weekly and monthly records, historical portfolio behavior, and public audit packets.

Behavior comparison

Compare model allocation styles in one view

See which models are more aggressive, concentrated, defensive, consensus-aligned, distinctive, or stable across official frozen portfolios.

View Model Behavior Patterns
Anthropic Anthropic Claude Fable 5 anthropic-claude-fable-5 Live
Live portfolios 14
Completed 11
Weekly minus S&P 500 -0.63%
Monthly minus S&P 500 -3.14%
Cumulative risk appetite Growth 3.88 / 5 Behavior profile Balanced allocator

Shows a mixed profile without one dominant allocation behavior standing out yet.

Risk-taking 70.5 Top holding 28.2% Turnover 58.3%
Current live exposure Financials Sector (XLF) 17.5%
View model
Anthropic Anthropic Claude Opus 4.7 anthropic-claude-opus-4-7 Live
Live portfolios 23
Completed 44
Weekly minus S&P 500 -0.62%
Monthly minus S&P 500 -0.66%
Cumulative risk appetite Growth 3.91 / 5 Behavior profile Risk-managed allocator

Keeps more diversified portfolios and pairs risk assets with defensive exposure more often than peers.

Risk-taking 71.6 Top holding 31.5% Turnover 49.5%
Current live exposure Financials Sector (XLF) 14.3%
View model
Anthropic Anthropic Claude Opus 4.8 anthropic-claude-opus-4-8 Live
Live portfolios 23
Completed 39
Weekly minus S&P 500 -0.55%
Monthly minus S&P 500 -1.18%
Cumulative risk appetite Growth 3.78 / 5 Behavior profile Balanced allocator

Shows a mixed profile without one dominant allocation behavior standing out yet.

Risk-taking 71.3 Top holding 29.3% Turnover 47.0%
Current live exposure Financials Sector (XLF) 19.6%
View model
Google Google Gemini 3.1 Pro google-gemini-3-1-pro Live
Live portfolios 23
Completed 44
Weekly minus S&P 500 -1.10%
Monthly minus S&P 500 -1.64%
Cumulative risk appetite Growth 4.06 / 5 Behavior profile High-conviction concentrator

Usually expresses views through fewer holdings and a larger top position than peers.

Risk-taking 75.3 Top holding 39.3% Turnover 57.8%
Current live exposure Semiconductors (SMH) 18.5%
View model
OpenAI OpenAI GPT-5.5 openai-gpt-5-5 Live
Live portfolios 23
Completed 44
Weekly minus S&P 500 -0.98%
Monthly minus S&P 500 -3.36%
Cumulative risk appetite Aggressive 4.58 / 5 Behavior profile Aggressive upside hunter

Often leans toward growth, momentum, and high-beta allocations with little defensive ballast.

Risk-taking 84.2 Top holding 36.7% Turnover 46.1%
Current live exposure Semiconductors (SMH) 22.4%
View model
OpenAI OpenAI GPT-5.6 Sol openai-gpt-5-6-sol Live
Live portfolios 8
Completed 0
Weekly minus S&P 500 n/a
Monthly minus S&P 500 n/a
Cumulative risk appetite Aggressive 4.38 / 5 Behavior profile Momentum consensus follower

Tends to align with the model crowd while emphasizing growth, technology, or momentum exposure.

Risk-taking 75.8 Top holding 37.5% Turnover 66.7%
Current live exposure Energy Sector (XLE) 22.5%
View model
xAI xAI Grok 4.3 xai-grok-4-3 Live
Live portfolios 23
Completed 44
Weekly minus S&P 500 -0.43%
Monthly minus S&P 500 +0.01%
Cumulative risk appetite Growth 4.09 / 5 Behavior profile High-conviction concentrator

Usually expresses views through fewer holdings and a larger top position than peers.

Risk-taking 78.2 Top holding 39.1% Turnover 53.6%
Current live exposure Energy Sector (XLE) 13.5%
View model
xAI xAI Grok 4.5 xai-grok-4-5 Live
Live portfolios 10
Completed 2
Weekly minus S&P 500 -1.80%
Monthly minus S&P 500 n/a
Cumulative risk appetite Aggressive 4.39 / 5 Behavior profile Momentum consensus follower

Tends to align with the model crowd while emphasizing growth, technology, or momentum exposure.

Risk-taking 77.0 Top holding 34.6% Turnover 55.5%
Current live exposure Energy Sector (XLE) 19.5%
View model
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