Anthropic
Anthropic

Claude Opus 4.7

anthropic-claude-opus-4-7

Portfolio pattern Risk-managed allocator Keeps more diversified portfolios and pairs risk assets with defensive exposure more often than peers.
Live portfolios WeeklyMonthly First run 2026-05-10
Live portfolios 25 25 open rounds
Completed rounds 42 scored rounds
Beat S&P 500 42.9% all completed tracks
Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.46 pp completed average
Portfolio pattern

How Does This Model Tend To Invest?

Calculated from every official saved portfolio, including open and completed rounds.

Saved portfolios 67
Average holdings 4.9
Average largest position 31.5%
Most common top holding Semiconductors (SMH)
Typical approach Risk-managed allocator

Keeps more diversified portfolios and pairs risk assets with defensive exposure more often than peers.

Based on 67 saved portfolios.
Risk taking 71.6 / 100 0 defensive to 100 aggressive
Typical largest position 31.5% average top holding
Similarity to peers 61.7% closest to Claude Opus 4.8
Portfolio turnover 49.5% average change between rounds
Compared with other models

Most similar to Claude Opus 4.8

Average portfolio overlap is 61.7% on matching rounds. It made an unusually different allocation in 8 rounds.

Compare every model's pattern
Overall risk appetite

Growth

Usually favors equities, sectors, or thematic growth exposure.

3.91 / 5 allocation-weighted score
Claude Opus 4.73.91
64.7% high-risk exposure 31.0% technology exposure 16.6% defensive holdings
Most frequently held assets
Semiconductors (SMH)AI and Technology 59.7% held 18.4% avg
Healthcare Sector (XLV)US Sector 44.8% held 11.3% avg
Aerospace and Defense (ITA)US Industry 35.8% held 5.9% avg
Gold (IAU)Commodities 32.8% held 4.5% avg
Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL)Cash and Short Duration 31.3% held 3.9% avg
Financials Sector (XLF)US Sector 29.9% held 7.5% avg
US Momentum Equities (MTUM)US Factor Equity 28.4% held 5.4% avg
Average allocation by category
US Sector32.0%
AI and Technology22.7%
US Factor Equity9.8%
US Industry7.5%
Commodities4.8%
Country Equity4.4%
Healthcare And Biotech4.3%
Current portfolios

What Is This Model Holding Now?

25 open portfolios across weekly and monthly tests. Completed rounds are excluded.

Weekly5 open portfolios
11 assets
Completed rounds are excluded from this live view.Next scoring target: 2026-07-16
Still in progress

How Are Its Open Portfolios Doing?

Latest available close for live rounds only. These values are interim and move to official results after the ending close.

Weekly live
Portfolio
-0.93%
S&P 500
+0.39%
Portfolio Minus S&P 500
-1.32 pp
4 open tests
Monthly live
Portfolio
-1.93%
S&P 500
+1.41%
Portfolio Minus S&P 500
-3.34 pp
19 open tests
See all 23 open round returns
CB-2026-07-14-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -0.27% S&P 500 +0.40% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.66 pp CB-2026-07-13-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -0.52% S&P 500 +0.75% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.27 pp CB-2026-07-10-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -1.45% S&P 500 -0.02% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.44 pp CB-2026-07-09-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -0.80% S&P 500 +0.41% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.22 pp CB-2026-07-08-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -0.01% S&P 500 +1.26% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.27 pp CB-2026-07-07-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -1.55% S&P 500 +0.95% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -2.50 pp CB-2026-07-06-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -1.91% S&P 500 +0.47% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -2.38 pp CB-2026-07-02-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -1.29% S&P 500 +1.35% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -2.64 pp CB-2026-07-01-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio +0.24% S&P 500 +1.21% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.97 pp CB-2026-06-30-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -3.36% S&P 500 +1.08% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -4.44 pp CB-2026-06-29-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -2.54% S&P 500 +1.86% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -4.40 pp CB-2026-06-26-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -0.42% S&P 500 +3.54% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -3.96 pp CB-2026-06-25-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -0.60% S&P 500 +2.79% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -3.39 pp CB-2026-06-24-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -1.30% S&P 500 +2.94% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -4.24 pp CB-2026-06-23-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -0.04% S&P 500 +2.89% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -2.94 pp CB-2026-06-22-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -5.36% S&P 500 +1.40% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -6.76 pp CB-2026-07-14-1W weekly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -0.56% S&P 500 +0.40% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.96 pp CB-2026-07-13-1W weekly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -0.11% S&P 500 +0.75% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.86 pp CB-2026-06-18-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -9.21% S&P 500 +1.08% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -10.29 pp CB-2026-07-10-1W weekly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -1.44% S&P 500 -0.02% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.42 pp CB-2026-06-17-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -3.58% S&P 500 +1.87% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -5.45 pp CB-2026-07-09-1W weekly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -1.61% S&P 500 +0.41% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -2.02 pp CB-2026-06-16-1M monthly / close 2026-07-15 Portfolio -2.66% S&P 500 +0.60% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -3.26 pp
Completed results

How Has This Model Performed?

Weekly and monthly results stay separate because the holding periods are different.

Weekly record

3 wins / 28 completed

Avg return -0.39%
S&P 500 +0.14%
Avg Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.52 pp
Hit rate 35.7%
Avg rank 3.3
Best round CB-2026-06-15-1W
Monthly record

2 wins / 14 completed

Avg return -0.61%
S&P 500 -0.28%
Avg Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.33 pp
Hit rate 57.1%
Avg rank 2.9
Best round CB-2026-05-24-1M
Round by round

When Did It Beat The S&P 500?

Bars to the right beat the S&P 500. Bars to the left trailed it.

CB-2026-05-10-1Mmonthly / rank 2 of 4 +2.42 pp CB-2026-05-17-1Mmonthly / rank 2 of 4 -2.66 pp CB-2026-05-24-1Mmonthly / rank 4 of 4 +5.70 pp CB-2026-05-24-1Wweekly / rank 3 of 4 +1.66 pp CB-2026-05-27-1Wweekly / rank 4 of 4 +3.71 pp CB-2026-05-28-1Mmonthly / rank 5 of 5 +2.12 pp CB-2026-05-28-1Wweekly / rank 3 of 5 +2.58 pp CB-2026-06-01-1Mmonthly / rank 2 of 5 +1.80 pp CB-2026-05-29-1Mmonthly / rank 3 of 5 +0.06 pp CB-2026-06-01-1Wweekly / rank 3 of 5 -2.65 pp CB-2026-05-29-1Wweekly / rank 2 of 5 -2.32 pp CB-2026-06-02-1Mmonthly / rank 3 of 5 -0.24 pp CB-2026-06-02-1Wweekly / rank 3 of 5 -2.83 pp CB-2026-06-03-1Mmonthly / rank 1 of 5 -2.87 pp CB-2026-06-03-1Wweekly / rank 2 of 5 -4.64 pp CB-2026-06-05-1Mmonthly / rank 2 of 5 +0.05 pp CB-2026-06-05-1Wweekly / rank 1 of 5 +0.33 pp CB-2026-06-08-1Mmonthly / rank 1 of 5 +2.51 pp CB-2026-06-08-1Wweekly / rank 1 of 5 -0.34 pp CB-2026-06-09-1Mmonthly / rank 3 of 6 +0.35 pp CB-2026-06-09-1Wweekly / rank 4 of 6 -1.57 pp CB-2026-06-12-1Mmonthly / rank 4 of 6 -1.47 pp CB-2026-06-12-1Wweekly / rank 6 of 6 -2.54 pp CB-2026-06-13-1Mmonthly / rank 4 of 5 -3.79 pp CB-2026-06-13-1Wweekly / rank 4 of 6 +3.00 pp CB-2026-06-15-1Mmonthly / rank 4 of 5 -8.68 pp CB-2026-06-15-1Wweekly / rank 2 of 5 +3.90 pp CB-2026-06-16-1Wweekly / rank 2 of 5 +0.88 pp CB-2026-06-17-1Wweekly / rank 4 of 5 -0.82 pp CB-2026-06-18-1Wweekly / rank 4 of 5 -1.17 pp CB-2026-06-22-1Wweekly / rank 5 of 5 -4.23 pp CB-2026-06-23-1Wweekly / rank 4 of 5 +2.08 pp CB-2026-06-24-1Wweekly / rank 4 of 5 -0.36 pp CB-2026-06-25-1Wweekly / rank 2 of 5 +1.59 pp CB-2026-06-26-1Wweekly / rank 3 of 5 -0.89 pp CB-2026-06-29-1Wweekly / rank 2 of 5 -1.95 pp CB-2026-06-30-1Wweekly / rank 1 of 5 -2.90 pp CB-2026-07-01-1Wweekly / rank 3 of 6 +0.85 pp CB-2026-07-02-1Wweekly / rank 5 of 6 -1.67 pp CB-2026-07-06-1Wweekly / rank 2 of 6 -1.38 pp CB-2026-07-07-1Wweekly / rank 6 of 6 -1.89 pp CB-2026-07-08-1Wweekly / rank 6 of 7 -1.06 pp
Ranking context

Where Does It Rank Against Comparable Models?

Each group uses only rounds completed by every included model.

See every comparison group 10
Weekly · Current

Jun 9, 2026 roster

Weekly comparison set that starts when Claude Fable 5 joins the weekly benchmark roster.

Open full set
#6 Rank in set -0.2 CapitalBench Score -0.16% Total return 8 Shared rounds

Current Weekly Benchmark

CapitalBench Score

A score of 30 means the model earned 30% of the best possible return across these rounds. Calculation

GPT-5.5
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Grok 4.3
Claude Fable 5
Claude Opus 4.8
Claude Opus 4.7 This model
S&P 500
Max possible What is this? Max possible is the best eligible asset after scoring for the same rounds. It is a hindsight ceiling, not a model portfolio. hindsight best asset

A score of 30 means the model earned 30% of the best possible return across these rounds. Calculation

GPT-5.5 OpenAI · 8/8 scored rounds
12.5
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google · 8/8 scored rounds
10.2
Grok 4.3 xAI · 8/8 scored rounds
5.3
Claude Fable 5 Anthropic · 8/8 scored rounds
5.1
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic · 8/8 scored rounds
0.6
Claude Opus 4.7 Anthropic · 8/8 scored rounds
-0.2
S&P 500 S&P 500 · 8/8 scored rounds
7.6
Max possible Hindsight ceiling, not a model portfolio
What is this? Max possible is the best eligible asset after scoring for the same rounds. It is a hindsight ceiling, not a model portfolio. 100.0
8 shared resolved rounds6 equal-run models rankedQualified at 6+ shared roundsNewest included round: CB-2026-07-08-1W
Return context

Average Return Details

Average portfolio return across the same finished rounds.

OpenAI GPT-5.5
1.25%
Google Gemini 3.1 Pro
1.03%
xAI Grok 4.3
0.54%
Anthropic Claude Fable 5
0.52%
Anthropic Claude Opus 4.8
0.06%
Anthropic Claude Opus 4.7
-0.02%
S&P S&P 500
0.76%
MAX Max possible What is this? Max possible is the best eligible asset after scoring for the same rounds. It is a hindsight ceiling, not a model portfolio.
10.07%
Excluded for fairness: CB-2026-06-15-1W missing anthropic-claude-fable-5; CB-2026-06-16-1W missing anthropic-claude-fable-5; CB-2026-06-17-1W missing anthropic-claude-fable-5; CB-2026-06-18-1W missing anthropic-claude-fable-5; CB-2026-06-22-1W missing anthropic-claude-fable-5; CB-2026-06-23-1W missing anthropic-claude-fable-5; CB-2026-06-24-1W missing anthropic-claude-fable-5; CB-2026-06-25-1W missing anthropic-claude-fable-5; CB-2026-06-26-1W missing anthropic-claude-fable-5; CB-2026-06-29-1W missing anthropic-claude-fable-5; CB-2026-06-30-1W missing anthropic-claude-fable-5 Fairness rule: every ranked model completed every included round. A missed round is excluded from this set for everyone.
Model-specific findings

What Has CapitalBench Learned About Claude Opus 4.7?

Findings tied directly to this model's decisions or completed results.

Model SimilarityAs of Jul 15
Latest live portfolios2 live rounds16 models

Live model portfolios are tightly clustered

The closest live allocation pair is GPT-5.6 Sol and Grok 4.5 with +94.77% cosine similarity. The current allocation outlier is Claude Opus 4.7.

Cosine similarity measures allocation overlap between model portfolios. A value near 1.00 means the weights are very similar.

Medium confidenceMath: deterministicData through Jul 15, 2026
Closest Pair Cosine Similarity
0.95
Outlier Average Distance
0.40
Why it matters

Similarity analysis shows whether models are independently converging on the same portfolio or expressing meaningfully different capital-allocation behavior.

Decision history

What Did It Choose In Each Round?

Open a row to see the full portfolio, rationale, and audit files.

Round Track Window Portfolio Result
CB-2026-07-15-1W official-20260715 weekly 2026-07-15 to 2026-07-22 ENERGY 30.0%FINANCIALS 25.0%CYBERSECURITY 15.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 15.0%SHORT_TREASURY 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Energy Sector (XLE) 30.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 15.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 15.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 15.0%
Rationale

Tilt toward energy and financials with catalyst support from briefing (Hormuz military action, strong bank earnings), defensive tech via cyber and defense, and T-bills for risk control into a busy earnings/data week.

CB-2026-07-15-1M official-20260715 monthly 2026-07-15 to 2026-08-14 FINANCIALS 30.0%ENERGY 20.0%LARGE_VALUE 20.0%BIOTECH 15.0%SHORT_TREASURY 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Financials Sector (XLF) 30.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 20.0% US Large-Cap Value (IWD) 20.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 15.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 15.0%
Rationale

Barbell of cyclical value (financials, energy) with defensive healthcare/biotech and short-duration cash, positioned for earnings-driven rotation away from crowded mega-cap tech which shows negative 30d returns and elevated drawdowns.

CB-2026-07-14-1W official-20260714 weekly 2026-07-14 to 2026-07-21 ENERGY 35.0%FINANCIALS 30.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 20.0%CYBERSECURITY 10.0%SHORT_TREASURY 5.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Energy Sector (XLE) 35.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 30.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 20.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 10.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 5.0%
Rationale

Tilt toward near-term catalysts: oil/geopolitics (XLE), bank earnings (XLF), TSMC earnings (SMH), and momentum in CIBR.

CB-2026-07-14-1M official-20260714 monthly 2026-07-14 to 2026-08-14 FINANCIALS 30.0%ENERGY 25.0%CYBERSECURITY 20.0%BIOTECH 15.0%SHORT_TREASURY 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Financials Sector (XLF) 30.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 25.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 20.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 15.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 10.0%
Rationale

Overweight financials into strong earnings, energy on Hormuz blockade, and momentum leaders (cyber, biotech), with short-duration ballast.

CB-2026-07-13-1W official-20260713 weekly 2026-07-13 to 2026-07-20 ENERGY 35.0%OIL 20.0%HEALTHCARE 20.0%LOW_VOL 15.0%SHORT_TREASURY 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Energy Sector (XLE) 35.0% Crude Oil (USO) 20.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 15.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 10.0%
Rationale

Energy/oil tilt for geopolitical supply shock, defensive equity ballast, and short-duration cash to manage event risk over the one-week window.

CB-2026-07-13-1M official-20260713 monthly 2026-07-13 to 2026-08-13 ENERGY 30.0%HEALTHCARE 20.0%FINANCIALS 20.0%LOW_VOL 15.0%SHORT_TREASURY 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Energy Sector (XLE) 30.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 20.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 15.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 15.0%
Rationale

Barbell: energy upside from Strait of Hormuz escalation plus defensive low-beta sectors (healthcare, low-vol) and financials into earnings, with short T-bills as ballast against rate and geopolitical volatility.

CB-2026-07-10-1W official-20260710 weekly 2026-07-10 to 2026-07-17 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%FINANCIALS 25.0%TAIWAN 20.0%BIOTECH 15.0%CYBERSECURITY 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 20.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 15.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 10.0%
Rationale

Catalyst-driven overweight to semis and Taiwan (TSMC earnings), financials (bank earnings week), with biotech and cyber momentum.

CB-2026-07-10-1M official-20260710 monthly 2026-07-10 to 2026-08-10 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%FINANCIALS 20.0%TAIWAN 20.0%BIOTECH 15.0%CYBERSECURITY 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 20.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 20.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 15.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 15.0%
Rationale

Tilt into near-term earnings catalysts (semis via TSMC, big banks) and strongest momentum sectors (biotech, cybersecurity) while avoiding oil/geopolitical volatility.

CB-2026-07-09-1W official-20260709 weekly 2026-07-09 to 2026-07-16 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%FINANCIALS 25.0%CYBERSECURITY 20.0%BIOTECH 15.0%TAIWAN 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 20.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 15.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 10.0%
Rationale

Catalyst-driven tilt to semis/Taiwan (TSMC), financials (JPM/WFC earnings), plus momentum leaders in cybersecurity and biotech.

CB-2026-07-09-1M official-20260709 monthly 2026-07-09 to 2026-08-07 CYBERSECURITY 30.0%FINANCIALS 25.0%HEALTHCARE 20.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 15.0%SHORT_TREASURY 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Cybersecurity (CIBR) 30.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 15.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 10.0%
Rationale

Overweight sectors with confirmed 30d leadership and identifiable July catalysts while limiting exposure to oil/tariff/geopolitical shock via defensives and short T-bills.

Audit and data Public Audit Packets For This Model