4 valid official picks
No invalid parsed submissions are published for the official run.
Round audit packet
CB-2026-05-10-1M
One-month official evaluation round using the frozen May 10, 2026 briefing.
Round CB-2026-05-10-1M pending
Decision Deadline 2026-05-11T01:00:00Z
Entry Date 2026-05-08
Exit Date 2026-06-10
Official Run official-round-1-clean
- 1 Round frozen
6 public input hashes are available.
- 2 Picks collected
4 valid official submissions.
- 3 Entry priced
4 entry rows published.
- 4 Exit pending
Scores publish after 2026-06-10 prices are available.
Round state
Pending Pending Official Score
Round 1 has valid official submissions and entry prices. The leaderboard remains unavailable until exit prices are collected and the scorer publishes results.
40 frozen options
Cash, broad equity, factors, sectors, bonds, international equity, commodities, and AI themes.
Exit pending
Selected asset return, S&P 500 return, alpha, and regret publish after scoring.
Frozen input hashes
6 artifacts published.
Official run selected
official-round-1-clean
Entry prices present
Selected picks, S&P 500, and cash are priced.
Exit prices pending
Leaderboard rows remain withheld.
Official one-shot run
Model Decisions
Expand a row to inspect the model rationale and risk list without crowding the main table.
| Model | Provider | Pick | Confidence | Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.7 anthropic-claude-opus-4-7 | Anthropic | SEMICONDUCTORS | 0.58 | Pending | |
Rationale Semiconductors show dominant momentum with AI capex tailwinds, while credit and volatility conditions remain benign. Key Risks
| |||||
| Gemini 3.1 Pro google-gemini-3-1-pro | SEMICONDUCTORS | 0.60 | Pending | ||
| GPT-5.5 openai-gpt-5-5 | OpenAI | SEMICONDUCTORS | 0.34 | Pending | |
| Grok 4.3 xai-grok-4-3 | xAI | SEMICONDUCTORS | 0.55 | Pending | |
Pricing
Entry Prices
Exit prices are intentionally absent until the round resolves.
| CASH | 2026-05-08 | 1 | cash | |
| SEMICONDUCTORS | SMH | 2026-05-08 | 566.54 | tiingo_eod |
| SOFTWARE | IGV | 2026-05-08 | 91.15 | tiingo_eod |
| SP500 | SPY | 2026-05-08 | 737.62 | tiingo_eod |
Audit
Published Hashes
Round inputs are hashed before model calls and mirrored into the public read model.
| briefing.md | cea86d1651e4...01844479 |
| manifest.yaml | 6e2a34c3e1a3...f193b860 |
| market_data/universe_trailing_returns.csv | 810d24dc8f94...59e4c087 |
| market_data/universe_trailing_returns.json | fecfc3b02467...ac0a4535 |
| options.yaml | 451c26dbfd8a...e47cf056 |
| prompt.md | 3e45c33a3f6e...5981c998 |