AI benchmark tape
Benchmark Live AI capital allocation same brief, frozen portfolios, real returns AI Positioning Risk-seeking 66.9/100 Selective risk taking Model Agreement Mixed 9.9 point dispersion Insight Live AI portfolios are concentrated in Healthcare Sector (XLV) Across the newest live weekly and monthly portfolios, Healthcare Sector (XLV) is the largest aggregate allocation at +25.42%. Crowded Position Semiconductors 18.0% 6 models hold SMH Biggest Shift Healthcare Sector up 23.8 pp vs prior weekly round Live MTM Claude Opus 4.8 -0.3% not final Latest Weekly Claude Opus 4.8 led 2.3% vs S&P 1.7% Full Weekly History Claude Fable 5 leads score 19.3 across 3/19
Data Prices Jul 1 49/49 audited
Live dashboard

Live Positions & Returns

Open CapitalBench rounds before final scoring. This page shows frozen model portfolios, current exposure, mark-to-market returns, and the score dates still waiting on final closing prices.

Open live positions See mark-to-market returns Review open tests
Open monthly rounds 18 18 waiting for results
Open weekly rounds 5 5 waiting for results
Frozen live portfolios 119 33 assets currently held
Current risk appetite 66.9/100 Risk-seeking
Live tests

Mark-To-Market Portfolio Returns

Open rounds priced to the latest available close. These are interim portfolio returns, not official benchmark scores.

Official results
Live tests

Live Portfolio Returns

Live rounds marked to the latest available close. These are not final scores.

Priced live rounds21 of 23
Latest closeJul 1
Next final scoreJul 2
Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic / 21 open
Portfolio-0.32%S&P 500+0.46%Portfolio Minus S&P 500-0.78%
Grok 4.3xAI / 21 open
Portfolio-0.41%S&P 500+0.46%Portfolio Minus S&P 500-0.87%
Claude Opus 4.7Anthropic / 21 open
Portfolio-0.62%S&P 500+0.46%Portfolio Minus S&P 500-1.08%
Claude Fable 5Anthropic / 2 open
Portfolio-0.67%S&P 500+0.59%Portfolio Minus S&P 500-1.26%
Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle / 21 open
Portfolio-1.04%S&P 500+0.46%Portfolio Minus S&P 500-1.50%
GPT-5.5OpenAI / 21 open
Portfolio-1.30%S&P 500+0.46%Portfolio Minus S&P 500-1.76%
S&P 50021 open tests
S&P 500 return+0.46%CloseJul 1

Interim returns use live rounds only. Completed rounds move to official scored results.

Marked to market from saved entry prices. Official results wait for the scheduled ending close.
Live positions

Current Frozen Model Portfolios

Current asset and model exposure across unresolved monthly and weekly rounds, with each frozen portfolio shown below.

Model profiles
Scope
View
All Open portfolios only
Live AI positioning

Semiconductors (SMH) is the largest live allocation.

18.0% points to Semiconductors (SMH), while US Equity accounts for 64.6% of open portfolios.

Largest assetSemiconductors (SMH)18.0%
Lead categoryUS Equity64.6%
Live rounds23All Open
Portfolios11933 assets held
Category mixClick a category to focus the pick list
Top allocationsAssets with the largest live model allocation
33 assets
23 smaller live allocations30.3%
Monthly model portfolios

CB-2026-07-01-1M

2026-07-01 to 2026-07-31

Waiting for result
Anthropic Claude Fable 5
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 20% Financials Sector (XLF) 20% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 20% Biotechnology (XBI) 15%
Anthropic Claude Opus 4.7
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30% Financials Sector (XLF) 25% Industrials Sector (XLI) 15% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 15% Biotechnology (XBI) 15%
Anthropic Claude Opus 4.8
Financials Sector (XLF) 25% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20% Regional Banks (KRE) 15% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 20%
Google Gemini 3.1 Pro
S&P 500 (SPY) 40% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20% Financials Sector (XLF) 20% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 20%
OpenAI GPT-5.5
Regional Banks (KRE) 30% Biotechnology (XBI) 25% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 20% Financials Sector (XLF) 15% Industrials Sector (XLI) 10%
xAI Grok 4.3
US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 30% Financials Sector (XLF) 25% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20%
Shared top pick Financials Sector (XLF) Average across 6 frozen model portfolios.
Top 3 53.3% Spread 7.1 assets
Financials Sector (XLF) 21.7%
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20%
US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 11.7%
Industrials Sector (XLI) 10.8%
Monthly Scores Audit packet
Weekly model portfolios

CB-2026-07-01-1W

2026-07-01 to 2026-07-08

Waiting for result
Anthropic Claude Fable 5
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25% Biotechnology (XBI) 20% Financials Sector (XLF) 20% US Large-Cap Value (IWD) 20% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 15%
Anthropic Claude Opus 4.7
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30% Financials Sector (XLF) 20% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20% Biotechnology (XBI) 15% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 15%
Anthropic Claude Opus 4.8
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30% Financials Sector (XLF) 25% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 15% S&P 500 (SPY) 10%
Google Gemini 3.1 Pro
S&P 500 (SPY) 40% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 30%
OpenAI GPT-5.5
Regional Banks (KRE) 30% Biotechnology (XBI) 25% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20% Industrials Sector (XLI) 15% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 10%
xAI Grok 4.3
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 50% Biotechnology (XBI) 30% Financials Sector (XLF) 20%
Shared top pick Healthcare Sector (XLV) Average across 6 frozen model portfolios.
Top 3 60% Spread 6.2 assets
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.8%
Biotechnology (XBI) 15%
Financials Sector (XLF) 14.2%
Industrials Sector (XLI) 9.2%
Weekly Scores Audit packet
Current allocation signal

AI Risk Appetite

Latest monthly and weekly portfolios, equal-weighted by track. This measures current model positioning, not market returns or a trading recommendation.

Historical trend and methodology
Combined pulse 66.9/100 Risk-seeking
As of July 1, 2026 Selective risk taking CB-2026-07-01-1M and CB-2026-07-01-1W
Monthly strategic 69.2/100 Risk-seeking
Weekly tactical 64.6/100 Risk-seeking
Change -15.5 Change vs Jun 30 portfolios
Model agreement Mixed 9.9 point dispersion
Largest current allocations
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.4% Financials Sector (XLF) 17.9% Biotechnology (XBI) 12.1% Industrials Sector (XLI) 10.0% S&P 500 (SPY) 7.5% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 7.1%
Regime mix
Broad and cyclical equity 57.1% Defensive equity 26.7% Growth and technology 12.1% Cash and defensive FX 4.2%
Model live holdings

Open Portfolios By Model

A compact readout of each model's unresolved CapitalBench exposure. Open the model profile for the full holdings breakdown.

Gemini 3.1 Pro Google Top live holding Semiconductors (SMH) 19.6% across 23 open portfolios Top 3 52.0% Next score Jul 2 GPT-5.5 OpenAI Top live holding Semiconductors (SMH) 26.3% across 23 open portfolios Top 3 50.9% Next score Jul 2 Claude Opus 4.7 Anthropic Top live holding Semiconductors (SMH) 17.8% across 23 open portfolios Top 3 44.1% Next score Jul 2 Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic Top live holding Healthcare Sector (XLV) 16.1% across 23 open portfolios Top 3 43.3% Next score Jul 2 Grok 4.3 xAI Top live holding Healthcare Sector (XLV) 15.2% across 23 open portfolios Top 3 41.3% Next score Jul 2 Claude Fable 5 Anthropic Top live holding Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20.0% across 4 open portfolios Top 3 42.5% Next score Jul 8
Open tests

Live Monthly And Weekly Tests

These are the open tests you can inspect now. Models already submitted portfolios; official scores wait for final closing prices.

Monthly test

One-month test

Live now

Longer test of AI allocation over one month.

Portfolios locked; scoring pending.

Model portfolios 6 Eligible assets 70 Risk-taking score 69.2/100 Top consensus Financials Sector (XLF) 21.7% average weight
Live positions Asset universe Audit packet
Weekly test

One-week test

Live now

Short-term test of AI positioning over one market week.

Portfolios locked; scoring pending.

Model portfolios 6 Eligible assets 70 Risk-taking score 64.6/100 Top consensus Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.8% average weight
Live positions Asset universe Audit packet

Internal IDs and full reproducibility files are inside each audit packet.

Scoring calendar

Current Scoring Calendar

Models have already picked portfolios. Official scores publish only after the market window ends and final closing prices are available.

49 official rounds recorded Internal round and run IDs stay in the public audit trail.
View audit trail
Live data is interim.

Positions are frozen model outputs from open rounds. Returns are marked to the latest available close. Official benchmark scores publish only after the scheduled ending close is collected.